Editors Choice
Cycles are basically fluctuations in the economic activity about its longterm growth trend and are an inherent feature of any economy.
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Cover Story
A super cycle is a prolonged trend rise in real commodity prices. At present with rising commodity prices after a long period of depression, the notion that the world might be entering the bullish phase of a super-cycle has gained momentum.
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Economy Canvas
WPI: The fiscal 2008 began with a higher rate of inflation (point-to-point)as measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI). The inflation has gradually moderated from a high of 6.4 per cent beginning fiscal 2007-08 to a low of 3.79 per cent for week ending 25.8.07.
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Exchange Insight
The position of the top 5 commodities by turnover remains unchanged. However the contribution of
guar seed - the leader - has slipped slightly
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Global Markets
Fears of a possible slowdown in the global economy dampened base metals sentiments.Copper, nickel and tin recovered but aluminium, zinc and lead continued with their downward journey.
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Spot Light
Asia has become the largest consumer of copper with demand boosted by rapid industrialisation.
With the global economy anticipated to maintain its pace, demand for copper is also expected to rise
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Commodity Trend
Oil Complex is in correction mode after touching
recent highs in July and August 2007. While soybean and refined soy oil are pressured by the impending new crop, which promises to be a record, mustard complex is being dragged down by the overall weak trend in oil complex.
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Market Review
Gold prices finally breached the psychological $700- mark, with the December contract on the Comex trading as high as $716.50 an ounce on September 8 and spot gold exchanging hands at $703 an ounce.
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Quick News
Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), the country’s oldest financial stock exchange, has received the Centre’s nod to acquire 26 per cent equity in the National Multi-Commodity Exchange (NMCE). The tie up seeks to create a robust agricultural commodity
exchange that can rival the two private commodity exchanges-MCX and NCDEX.
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Trade Mechanics
In the Previous two issues, we had dealt with the basics of commodity markets including spot and futures markets, forward and futures contracts and the attendant advantages and disadvantages of each. We had also talked about the major nternational and domestic commodity futures markets and briefly discussed the roles played
by exchanges. In this issue, we take a small detour and discuss some nuts-and-bolts of the commodity futures trading process, which will set the stage for further detailed discussions
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Astro Speak
Since Saturn (Shani) and Mars (Mangal) are in kendra from each other and aspect each other, this
combination can lead to upward movement in metals, especially copper. The forecast on copper for the previous fortnight were accurate and should have helped readers.
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Coffee Break
Self-correction means the ability to initiate change and evaluate the results.
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Crop Weather
Nursery sowing of Mundakan Rice is on in Kerala. Aus rice in West Bengal, early sown Virippu rice in Kerala are in maturity/ harvesting stage.
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Event Watch
September 16-30, 2007
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Interview
A combination of a booming economy, stable prices, a welcome Akshaya Thritiya festival and underlying affinity to gold has resulted in
both jewellery and net retail investment demand for gold hitting alltime highs in India in tonnage terms.
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Policy Watch
The agricultural commodities market in India until now has operated through a network of regulated markets within the purview of various state governments’ APMC Acts. With agriculture being a state subject, state governments have through these acts monopolised the setting up of markets.
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View Point
The versatility of guar and its derivatives has
helped India build an over Rs 10 billion export market. With almost 200,000 tonnes of guar and guar products exported to various markets around the globe, India clearly dominates the guar trade.
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Vol. 1